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Citywide Industry Study: New Opportunities for a Changing Economy: Summary Report cover Citywide Industry Study: New Opportunities for a Changing Economy: Summary Report, 1993. ($5.00)
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Executive Summary

Introduction
The Citywide Industry Study provides a policy framework for land use planning in industrial areas and for zoning affecting industrial-sector activities; it presents an analysis of economic trends over the past thirty years and a snapshot of New York City's industrial sector today. This sector includes businesses in manufacturing, construction, wholesale trade, transportation, communications and public utilities. The study consists of five technical reports: Industry Trends; Labor Force; Geographic Atlas of Industrial Areas; Transportation; and Zoning. The study was prompted by the Department of City Planning's desire to understand how much industrial activity continues to take place in the city's manufacturing-zoned areas, in light of the marked decline in overall industrial activity in New York City since the mapping of these areas in the early 1960s.


Industry Trends
Since the late 1950s, private-sector industrial employment has declined from 1.7 million jobs to approximately 800,000. Losses were particularly heavy in the manufacturing sector, which had nearly one million jobs in 1960, but only about 300,000 in 1990. Most of the city's industrial-sector businesses have historically been located in Manhattan, which lost the greatest share and largest number of jobs during the decline. In addition, jobs losses in Manhattan, as well as citywide, were particularly severe among manufacturing production workers, who now number approximately 180,000 in the entire city. Manhattan alone had nearly 300,000 manufacturing production workers in the early 1960s, and the citywide total was twice that number. The other industrial-sector industries declined less severely, from about 750,000 to 500,000 jobs over a thirty-year period.

The causes of these declines were largely beyond the city's control: broad national and global economic shifts resulted in relocations of major New York City industries to Sunbelt cities and overseas; import competition and technological changes reduced the need to produce many goods either locally or nationally; transportation and trade industries decentralized around the rest of the country; and population moved to the suburbs, the South, and the Western United States followed by business and industry. These events combined to greatly reduce the city's role as a national center of industrial production and distribution. As a result, the economic role of the city haschanged from one of exporting goods to one of exporting services. The industrial sector, once the engine of growth for the city's economy, now primarily serves the needs of local businesses and households.

Similar trends occurred in much of the nation, particularly the older industrial cities of the Northeast and Midwest. However, during the 1980s, non-manufacturing jobs in the industrial sector -- particularly wholesale trade -- boomed in the New York City metropolitan area suburbs, but not in the city, in response to the rapidly expanding services sector and the increase in household income. The city's inability to capture its share of this growth was due primarily to poor freight transportation, high crime, obsolete industrial buildings and a lack of suitable sites, and, to a lesser degree, high taxes. Most of the remaining industrial-sector employment in New York City is in construction, wholesale trade, transportation and utilities, as well as manufacturing for a more local and regional market. In addition, some exceptional export-oriented manufacturers continue to find New York City an advantageous place to do business.

Provided that the city can addresses the crucial issues of transportation, crime, and the availability of sites and modern buildings, a potentially stable core of industrial-sector activities could remain:

1) Building, rebuilding, maintaining, and operating the city's physical plant;
2) Transportation of people and distribution of goods into, out of, and around the city and metropolitan region;
3) The segment of the city's fashion-related production and distribution industries that is tied to fashion design, trade, and marketing;
4) Custom manufacturing for local and regional markets, generally consisting of the assembly of parts or components fabricated elsewhere;
5) The collection, processing and disposal of solid waste; and
6) The maintenance and repair of consumer and producer durable goods, especially motor vehicles.


Labor Force
The number of industrial-sector jobs available to New Yorkers has been halved since the early 1960s, dropping from almost 50 percent to barely one-quarter of the city's total employment base. Land use policies and many of the city's economic development policies have focused on promoting industrial-sector activities as a way of preserving "blue-collar" jobs for city residents. These activities have historically generated a proportionately greater share of jobs for unskilled workers, workers without high school diplomas, and workers with limited or no English-language skills. In addition, blue-collar jobs have been perceived as providing better wages and benefits, greater stability and more mobility for unskilled workers than entry-level jobs in the services sector of the economy.

The analysis of labor force, employment and wage data conducted as part of this study revealed a number of important findings. First, while the shrinking industrial sector continues to provide a large proportion of its jobs to unskilled workers, the non-industrial sector now provides a higher absolute number of the city's jobs to those workers. Second, the labor-intensive industries that dominate the city's industrial economy do not provide substantially better jobs (i.e., higher wages, full-time hours and more security) to unskilled workers than those provided by the non-industrial sector.

Since growth in the industrial sector is now generated by growth in the services sector and by expanding the city's aggregate personal income, the best opportunity for increasing blue-collar employment in New York City is through policies that promote overall economic growth in all sectors: services, finance and retail trade, as well as traditional blue-collar industries. Therefore, economic development policies must focus on expansion of the total economy -- industrial and non-industrial sectors -- to successfully generate (or retain) blue-collar jobs.

The study also found that in both the industrial and non-industrial sectors of the New York City economy, whites were concentrated in higher-paying jobs and industry divisions, and minorities of equivalent educational attainment earned less than similarly educated whites at all levels. Opportunities for minorities in the industrial sector were disproportionately concentrated in lower-paying jobs and less-stable industries. Wage disparities between whites and minorities were no smaller in blue-collar jobs than in the services, retail, and finance sectors. These findings demonstrate the importance of eliminating discrimination and reducing wage inequalities in all industries, and also the need to encourage all New York City youths to graduate high school.


Geographic Distribution of Industrial Activity
Despite the dramatic loss of industrial employment over the past thirty years, New York City continues to have over three-quarters of a million jobs in construction, manufacturing, wholesale trade, transportation, communications and public utilities --one of the largest concentrations in the country. The geographic distribution of the city's industrial-sector businesses today is surprisingly similar to the pattern that has existed historically: over half of the city's industrial-sector employment continues to be located in Manhattan, and nearly two-thirds is located within a three-mile radius of the Midtown Manhattan central business district (CBD).

The tendency for these businesses to locate in or near Manhattan reflects their desire to be close to their customers (mostly CBD businesses), and thereby reduce the time necessary to deliver goods or services. The density of industrial-sector jobs in these areas is frequently higher than 100 per acre -- undoubtedly the highest job densities in the country.

Relatively job-intensive industrial areas are also found near neighborhoods with above-average household incomes and low crime rates, reflecting the opportunities created for businesses that provide services and goods to households and the attractiveness of secure areas to industrial-sector businesses. Conversely, proximity to areas where the population is relatively poor and crime rates are high has a strong negative influence on job density and business development -- even in areas with good transportation linkages; this becomes particularly significant in high-crime areas of Brooklyn and the Bronx. Generally, areas with good access to major highways, suitable sites and modern buildings are especially attractive to construction and distribution businesses, except in high-crime neighborhoods.

Many of the city's healthiest industrial areas are mixed-use in character, with nearby commercial and residential districts generating compatible office and retail activities that improve the overall environment for employees and customers. Although land values are higher in these thriving areas, industrial firms appear to be willing to pay a higher price to reap the added benefits generated in these mixed-use areas.

An important exception to the general location pattern is airport employment: LaGuardia and JFK airports account for over 40,000 industrial-sector jobs. These jobs are particularly well remunerated and the airport facilities themselves bring billions of dollars a year into New York City. Although air passenger transportation has lagged in recent years, air cargo has been one of the fastest growing industries in the city. The value of air cargo passing through Port Authority facilities is now nearly twenty times higher than the value of oceanborne freight shipped through New York Harbor.


Transportation
The difficulty of moving goods into, out of, and around New York City has been a contributing factor to the dramatic decline of the city's industrial sector. Modern industry's overwhelming reliance on trucks creates a critical dependence on the city's overburdened, outdated highway network. Trucks now carry over 90 percent of the region's freight. Therefore, a major determinant for locating new industrial developments is proximity to the interchanges of major highways. Unfortunately, only eight major truck routes enter New York City from the rest of the United States, and, of the six New York-New Jersey crossings, only the George Washington Bridge can accommodate the largest modern trucks.

Truck freight is also affected by constrained access to many major roads, congestion, and by the physical disrepair and inadequacy of the region's highway network. These factors have severely limited the city's ability to capture regional growth in many goods distribution industries.

Major improvements must be made to address this critical constraint on economic development potential in the city. The network of expressways surrounding the Manhattan commercial core, beginning at the George Washington Bridge and running across northern Manhattan and down the western edge of Brooklyn and Queens, provides primary access to the city's major industrial areas and business districts. Much of this network, particularly the Brooklyn-Queens Expressway, needs to be brought up to modern standards. In addition, truck traffic is not allowed on a significant segment of this network in northern Queens.

Truck freight access to the city's airports is also problematic: trucks can only access LaGuardia Airport from local streets; there is no expressway link directly to the airport. Trucks travelling via expressway to JFK from the rest of the city are limited to the Van Wyck, which is chronically congested. In addition, the Belt Parkway, running across southern Brooklyn to JFK airport, does not permit trucks or commercial vans. The heavy reliance of JFK's cargo operations on the Van Wyck Expressway is a critical impediment to the industry's future expansion.

Rail and water transportation should also be expanded to provide alternatives to trucks wherever practical. Major priorities must include completion of the Oak Point Link in the Bronx; providing a modern rail-freight link to the Howland Hook container port in Staten Island; and exploring waterborne-freight service between New York and New Jersey.


Zoning
When the city's manufacturing districts were mapped in the early 1960s, there were approximately 1.7 million industrial jobs located on about 20,000 acres of "M"-zoned land. There are now less than half as many private industrial-sector jobs, but only five percent less industrially-zoned land. As a result, a large number of industrial areas are vastly underutilized, many containing fewer than ten jobs per acre.

There have also been significant changes in the nature of industrial-sector firms and activities. However, in some cases, the city's zoning regulations, as currently written, do not accommodate these changes. As a result, outdated notions of industrial uses have inhibited economic development in industrial and commercial areas of the city. For example, many industrial activities have become less noxious due to modernization and changes in technology. Zoning changes can be made that will accommodate more light-industrial and wholesaling activities in certain central business and neighborhood commercial districts. These changes can be made without disrupting the commercial character of those areas.

Changes are also recommended for the city's manufacturing zones that would accommodate the evolution of wholesale and retail trade, without harming moretraditional industrial-sector activities. These changes would permit modern supermarkets, department or discount stores, and other retail developments up to 100,000 square feet to locate as-of-right in light- and medium-manufacturing zones. Such changes would facilitate the modernization of retail trade in New York City, and could revitalize some of the city's underutilized industrial areas.

The proposed changes would facilitate economic development by allowing more light-industrial activities in commercial districts and more commercial activities in industrial districts. The liberalization of restrictions on large retail stores in manufacturing-zones would also expand the city's employment and tax bases by providing local, auto-oriented shopping alternatives to New York City consumers who presently shop in the surrounding suburbs.

This study also contains zoning proposals to eliminate current restrictions on ground-floor retail in SoHo, NoHo and Tribeca in Manhattan, and to address a number of technical issues related to building bulk and parking that inhibit as-of-right business development or expansion.


Conclusion
Evidence from the Citywide Industry Study demonstrates that the future of the industrial sector will be contingent on the growth and stability of the non-industrial, service economy of New York City. The industries that drive the city's economy --advanced financial, producer, media and information services; fashion marketing and design; and health and not-for-profit services -- along with the city's households, are the markets for locally-manufactured or distributed industrial-sector goods and services. These services will generate demand for industrial-sector activities and thereby create the jobs for the city's blue-collar workers in the future.

Despite the thirty-year decline in industrial activity, over three-quarters of a million jobs remain in New York City in construction, manufacturing, wholesale trade, transportation and utilities. The industrial sector provides products and services that are vital to the city's households and non-industrial sector businesses. The city must retain and support these industries by addressing the critical issues of transportation, crime, land availability and, in some cases, an unnecessarily burdensome regulatory system.


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