"Xie Xie nimen de zhao dai. I asked my
mother, who is 98 years old but still going strong, if she would like to come
with me to China. She asked me how long the flight was, and when I told her, she
thought about it and said, 'I don't feel like taking such a long trip, but be
sure to say hello to the Chinese people for me.' So on behalf of my mother, I
would like to say to all of you, 'Ni men hao!'
"It is a great honor to speak at this
renowned center of learning, which is marking its 30th anniversary. During those
three decades, China has truly emerged as a major force in the world
economy. Over that time, China's economy has grown at an astonishing rate
of almost 10 percent a year. And its economic output has increased more
than eightfold.
"China has now become the world's
fourth-largest trading nation, and a powerful magnet for foreign
investment. And since 1977, China has accounted for three-fourths of all
the people in the world who have been lifted out of the deepest
poverty.
"These are extraordinary achievements.
They're accomplishments that the people of China can take enormous pride in, and
ones that the teachers and graduates of this great institution have played a
large role in helping to realize. And when the 2008 Olympics are held in
Beijing, China's proud achievements will be on display for the entire world to
see.
"Over the past 30 years, the people of my
own city of New York have also overcome significant challenges. And we're
proud of what we've accomplished, too. In the late 1970s, many 'experts'
thought that New York was hopelessly caught in a downward spiral of rampant
crime, a deteriorating economy, and population decline. They thought that
New York had no future. But New Yorkers proved them wrong.
"Today, our economy is strong. Our
streets are safer and cleaner than they have been in decades. Our people are
healthier and living longer than average Americans, in large part because we've
reduced smoking, the major cause of indoor air pollution in the world, by 20
percent in just five years. We did this by increasing the tobacco tax and
making virtually all workplaces, including restaurants and bars, smoke-free. In
fact, my personal philanthropic foundation is working here in this part of the
world to stop smoking that will otherwise kill a billion people this
century.
"Measures like that are making our
population healthier and more productive. They're part of the reason why
more people are coming to, and staying in, New York City. Our population
is eight and one-quarter million people and growing. I know that doesn't rival
Beijing's population. But it makes us by far the largest city in the
United States.
"Now, as we look to the future together, the
questions before New York, and before China, too, are: How can we continue
to build on the gains that we have worked so hard to win?; How can we sustain
our economic growth while living within the resources available to us?; How can
we 'Green our environment and also grow our economy?' People around the
globe also are struggling to answer these same questions.
"These are the questions that have drawn
representatives of the world's nations to Bali this week for the United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change, and that includes, I am told, a
delegation from this Academy.
"In a few days, it will be my great honor to
speak before that gathering as the designated representative of the
international organization called Local Governments for Sustainability, and by
extension, the 3.3 billion men, women and children-half the people of the
world-who inhabit the cities of the earth.
"Climate change is not a distant problem; it
poses enormous and immediate environmental, economic, and social challenges to
us all. Just last month, the respected United Nations Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change, this year's Nobel Laureate in Peace, published an
assessment of global warming. It predicted that continued greenhouse gas
emissions at or above current rates would very likely produce climate changes
'greater than those observed during the 20th century.'
"This could create critical stresses on
fresh water supplies in Asia's river basins; threaten agricultural production in
Africa; intensify heat waves in Europe and North America; and cause increases in
other extreme weather patterns around the globe. And just a year ago, Sir
Nicholas Stern, former chief economist for the World Bank, warned in his own
study of global warming that such climactic changes could produce: 'Risks
of major disruption to economic and social activity on a scale similar to those
associated with the great wars and the economic depression of the first half of
the 20th century.' These are very grim predictions. And we all share a
strong interest in preventing them from coming true.
"President Hu has outlined his vision for a
'harmonious society' in China. He rightly recognizes that such a
harmonious society must include a healthy environment. That is a message
that people everywhere must heed. Because if we fail to preserve our
environment, people everywhere could face the kind of social chaos that Sir
Nicholas warns us of. Humanity's impact on our global climate is converging with
a second, powerful, and rapidly accelerating force: The urbanization of
the world's population.
"Fifty years ago, fewer than 100 of the
world's cities had populations of one million or more people. Within 10
years, nearly 500 cities will. Many of these rapidly growing cities are
right here in China. When this Academy was founded 30 years ago, China's
urban population was some 170 million people. Since then, that urban
population has more than tripled.
"Some people believe that by mid-century, as
many as 75 percent of China's population may be city dwellers. Even an
occasional visitor to China like me is struck by this rapid urbanization. It is
one of the largest internal migrations of people in the history of the world-and
unless it is planned for, it could accelerate the already alarming pace of
global climate change, as well as other serious environmental
challenges.
"Cities around the world already account for
some 80 percent of humanity's production of the heat-trapping gases that
contribute to global warming. City dwellers are truly on the frontlines of
climate change. And across the globe, cities are also on the frontlines of
limiting the effects of that climate change.
"Beijing took the lead by banning the use of
high-sulfur coal for heating and cooking. Shanghai and other
municipalities have followed. And the introduction of efficient
electric-powered automobiles holds great promise for countries around the
world.
"After my remarks, I look forward to going
outside and seeing some of the latest-model battery-powered all-electric cars
that an American company-Miles Automotive Group-is developing in partnership
with the Chinese Automotive Technical and Research Center or 'CAT-ARC,' the
Chinese Electronic Technology Group Corporation, Lishen Battery Company, and the
city of Tianjin.
"I will be joined by the chair of Miles
Automotive Group, Miles Rubin, and its chief operating officer, Kevin
Kiley. As well as by their Chinese partners: Zhao Hang, director of
CATARC; Wang Xi Wen, vice-superintendent of Chinese Electronic Technology Group
Corporation; Qin Xing Cai, general manager of Lishen Battery; Liang Rui, deputy
general manager at Lishen Battery; and Wu Zhi Qin, general manager of Tianjin
Qingyuan Electric Vehicle Company.
"Assembled here in China, the cars they are
making can be marketed to drivers in both our nations, and in South America and
the European Union, too. The result is a marriage of U.S. and Chinese technology
that is taking us forward-toward 100 percent electric-powered vehicles that
drastically reduce air pollutants, cut carbon emissions, and are less expensive
to operate.
"New York City is also aggressively battling
climate change. Our city's population continues to grow, and is expected
to reach nine million by the year 2030. Even so, we're committed to
shrinking our carbon footprint by 30 percent by that same year of 2030. As the
servants of the people, I believe strongly that City government has a
responsibility to lead the private sector by example rather than just by fiat.
So we are working to reduce the greenhouse gases that City agencies produce by
30 percent within the next ten years-by 2017.
"Now, New York, and also Beijing, have been
spurred to take these actions not only because they help reduce global warming
but also because they're vital to cleaning the air that we all breathe. And
working to improve the earth's climate also has the additional virtue of
improving the business climate of our cities. It's a way to grow the
economies of our cities while greening our cities, too. In urban
environments, air pollution and climate change often arise from many of the same
sources, such as power plants and automobiles.
"In New York, we call our sustainability
agenda for the city's future PlaNYC. It includes 127 separate
initiatives. Nearly half of them simultaneously address air quality,
climate change, and our long-term economic growth. Because I hope someday
to be invited back to China, I will not try your patience by describing each one
of them to you in detail now. But let me illustrate my point with just two
examples.
"The first has to do with trees. New
York has just embarked on an ambitious program to plant one million new trees
throughout the city over the next ten years-40 times the number of trees in our
famous Central Park. These new trees will not only provide cooling shade
on our streets. They will take carbon dioxide out of the air, which will
reduce our global warming impact.
"They will clean our air by filtering out
pollutants. And they will also increase the beauty and the value of the
neighborhoods in which they're planted-many of which are communities that now
lack trees on their streets and in their parks.
"My second example involves
automobiles. New York is also working with our partners in State
government to study ways to charge automobile drivers a price for coming into
the busiest business districts of the city during the busiest hours of the work
week. This initiative, called congestion pricing, would also achieve victories
on the same three fronts.
"It would shrink our production of
greenhouse gases, make our air cleaner, and also enhance our economy both by
reducing the traffic congestion that costs the New York City metropolitan region
an estimated $13 billion annually while also raising money that will finance
much-needed mass transit projects.
"Singapore, Stockholm, and London have all
successfully implemented such congestion pricing systems. In fact, I was
recently in London and saw its success with congestion pricing with my own eyes.
I understand that a similar idea is under consideration in Shanghai as
well. In fact, it's clear that all cities need to do more, and also that
we all have a great deal to learn from one another.
"That's why today I am announcing that my
city, through an organization called New York City Global Partners, is inviting
representatives from more than 20 of the world's major cities to New York next
year for a two-day conference in mid-2008. It will address the challenges
that we all share in reducing urban air pollution and curbing climate
change. It will feature experts from around the world in transportation,
city planning, public health, and other disciplines.
"Of course, the great Chinese cities I'm
visiting on this trip, Beijing and Shanghai, are invited. I'm confident that
each of the cities that participates will have something to contribute, and that
we all will have something to learn.
"In New York, we've devoted enormous time
and talent to developing our plan for keeping New York 'green and growing' in
the future. We've done that because we want to lock in and build on all the
gains that New York has made in the past 30 years. And we know that those
gains could be lost if we don't protect them with far-sighted policies and wise
investments now.
"China has also made enormous gains in these
past 30 years. And people everywhere want to see China continue to develop
and prosper. And so my city and your nation both find that we must
confront climate change and the related problems of sustainability. So do
people around the world. Because the science concerning climate change is
now clear.
"The time for discussion is over; the time
for action-concerted action by people in every nation-is at hand. The
message that must come out of Bali this week is that governments and
corporations, giant organizations and individuals, nations in the developed
world, and the developing world: All must do their part.
"China and the US are both large consumers
of energy and we have a responsibility to work together to put the brakes on
climate change. The effects are already being felt here in China, as the
Gobi Desert expands at a rate of more than 3,000 square kilometers a year. The
effects are being felt in the United States as well, with droughts and
hurricanes causing terrible damage and pain. We must work in concert toward
immediate, realizable goals even as we recognize that achieving them will be
only the beginning of a very long struggle.
"Even in the short term, the air quality in
both countries' big cities is growing increasingly unacceptable. In New
York, for example, in some neighborhoods children have four times the national
average of asthma attacks. And the air quality in Beijing for the Olympics
is a serious concern that the government is addressing.
"The task before us is so immense that it
will demand far greater use of alternative and emerging technologies, from
increased reliance on wind and solar energy, to the wider distributed generation
of power by fuel cells. The hopeful news for our planet is that developing
such energy sources will spur an outpouring of innovation that will improve the
quality of life for people everywhere. But it's not enough to work for
bold innovations that won't pay off for another 30 or 40 years.
"We can't wait for the technology of the
future to do what needs to be done-urgently-today. In the wisdom of a proverb
that originated so long ago here in China, and that has now been adopted
throughout the world: A journey of one thousand li starts with a single step. It
is up to us, here and now, to begin that journey.
"Thank you one and all for your warm
reception and your great hospitality. Xie Xie."